Showing posts with label Warren. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Warren. Show all posts

Monday, February 24, 2020

Political Reality Check


It’s no secret that I am a progressive liberal with a longstanding belief that social justice must be at the core of our democracy.  I don’t oppose capitalism per se;  I believe that there is much to be valued about regulated free markets. But neither do I believe that billionaires are good for our nation.  In the big picture, I see the social democratic style systems of Sweden, Norway, Denmark, and Finland as much more egalitarian than the system we live with today in the United States.  Frankly, I prefer them.

I suspect that the United States is not nearly egalitarian enough in our nature to create the underlying political culture for such a system in the United States.  We value individual liberty more than social equality.  But we do have the ability to be much better than we currently are and the pervasive social and economic inequality we live with now is gravely in need of reform.  A tax on incomes greater than a million a year is just the start, but it’s a badly needed beginning.  As our economy evolves and the sorts of middle class manufacturing jobs that were the backbone of our mid-20th century economy are no longer financially sustainable in world markets, we must actively create opportunities for a new economy.  It must be one that sustains and supports people who long for decent-paying jobs.  People seek to live with their families in good homes with safe neighborhoods, well-functioning schools and a reliable, affordable system of healthcare.

These are modest goals and that we cannot achieve them for everyone right now should be a source of deep and grave concern to all of us.   We cannot be the richest nation in the world and have 1 in 4 of our children living in poverty.  

These are the goals of Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders.  In my estimation, Warren’s plans to achieve this kind of America are better developed than Sanders’ policy prescriptions.  But the two candidates are literally the opposite sides of the a well-conceived progressive coin.  Their ideas are not revolutionary; they are evolutionary and progressive.  They were at the core of Roosevelt’s New Deal and Johnson’s Great Society.  They are noble and good.

The hand-wringing and ominous warnings that “socialism” won’t fly; that moderate Democrats won’t vote for a progressive or will vote for Trump instead is the ridiculous fear-mongering and bullshit that got us into this system of grave inequality.  Protection of the top 10% and billionaires will not save us.  The ultra wealthy do not care about the rest of us.  They never have and they never will.

We need serious reform; systemic change of a sort that tells the truth about the inequality we experience and confronts racism.  We need ideas and policies that strengthen the economy for all of us, provide healthcare for all of us, recognizes global climate change and harnesses science and reason to respond to it.

The list of policies we must change is bigger than this and we all know it.  In the face of Donald Trump and his systematic degradation of our nation, arguing for some imaginary “return to normal” is the very worst kind of incrementalism, the kind that ignores the suffering of the most vulnerable among us and advises them to be patient and wait.  

I won’t do it and we can't wait.

I want change; big change; systemic change.  I know that leadership and good ideas win elections.  I want a nation that truly acts as if it believes that all of us are created equal and that we all deserve life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness.  I want it now.


Monday, February 03, 2020

Iowa Caucus Predictions


Today is the day!  More accurately, I suppose, tonight is the Iowa Caucus.  In the current Real Clear Politics average, Sanders is ascendent, and I think he will win Iowa tonight.  But how do the rest stack up?  

First round voting starts at 7 pm Iowa time.  Iowa’s caucus rules permit caucus-goers whose first choice does not garner 15% in the first round of voting to cast a second vote.  

I think that Klobuchar will come in 5th and it’s where her voters will go on second vote that interests me.  She’s a moderate and midwesterner, so Biden and Buttigieg are the most likely places for her voters to go.  But she’s also a woman, so Warren should pick up some of Klobuchar’s supporters.  I think Warren picks up more than Buttigieg and that places her third when the evening is done.  Biden will get more of the Klobuchar voters than Sanders at second vote but it won't be enough to overcome the Sanders momentum.

So I think the final vote comes in as follows:

Sanders
Biden
Warren 
Buttigieg

And then we’re off to New Hampshire.  Predictions for the Granite State will be next week.  It’s nice to be underway, y’all, and I am keeping my eye on the prize: a blue White House in November.

Sunday, February 02, 2020

Dreaming Big and Working Hard - Warren for President!


The primary season has been underway for a long time but tomorrow's Iowa Caucus, signals the start of actual voting.  I am glad it’s underway.  As the voting unfolds, I'll have predictions for every primary but today I plan to make clear my choice for the Democratic nomination.  


Representation matters, so it matters that Elizabeth Warren is a woman.  When she greets girls at her events and tells them that she’s running for president “because that’s what girls do,” my heart swells.  Always, but especially in the last three years, I am aware of the dangerous sexism and ugly mysogyny that pervades this nation.  Warren stands tall in the face of it, embraces her status as woman who was once a working mom, and shows her brilliant command of the issues at every turn.  She has a plan and it’s a good one.

And make no mistake: her plans are exceptional  They are well thought-out, ideologically unified, thoughtful, and practical.  Her own story as the daughter of a working class family informs her solutions to the nation’s problems.  And her solutions are well-fleshed out proposals rich with ideas.  Again, the contrast to the last three years of presidential “policy” is telling, but my support for Warren runs far deeper than that.  We need structural change and a nation that does more than give corporations and millionaires additional tax cuts.  Warren has a plan for that.

My support for Warren is because of her plans, all of them.  There are a lot, which speaks to the strength of her candidacy: she's not afraid to take a stand.  I especially support her detailed plans to address the needs of black Americans, ease the student loan burden, take on maternal mortality in the U.S., to address climate change, take on economic equality, and provide support for working parents.  I want major structural change and she has plans for that.  Warren is smart and capable and I respect her.  I love her boundless energy on the campaign trail and her belief in an America that works for all of us.  That matters in right now.

Work hard.  Dream big.  That is my America.  I want a nation that works for all of us.  I am so very ready for a change and look forward to President Elizabeth Warren.